Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.049320 0.057504 0.066494 0.077083 0.089198 0.102605 0.118548
2025-05-11 0.036824 0.047480 0.060269 0.076677 0.097088 0.121557 0.153017
2025-05-18 0.027849 0.039264 0.054076 0.074539 0.101885 0.136951 0.185069
2025-05-25 0.021812 0.033323 0.049332 0.072940 0.106514 0.152130 0.218278
2025-06-01 0.017981 0.029521 0.046597 0.073262 0.113297 0.170472 0.257391
2025-06-08 0.014571 0.025603 0.042898 0.071382 0.116328 0.183491 0.290033
2025-06-15 0.013039 0.024311 0.042894 0.074932 0.127676 0.209573 0.344218
2025-06-22 0.011152 0.022042 0.040899 0.074885 0.133168 0.227038 0.386698
2025-06-29 0.009325 0.019518 0.038036 0.072881 0.135028 0.238685 0.420768
2025-07-06 0.007982 0.017639 0.035992 0.071940 0.138429 0.252954 0.460148
2025-07-13 0.007448 0.017249 0.036615 0.075870 0.150752 0.283285 0.529072
2025-07-20 0.006841 0.016594 0.036611 0.078570 0.161040 0.310878 0.595451
2025-07-27 0.005827 0.014899 0.034337 0.076641 0.162615 0.323427 0.636980
2025-08-03 0.005075 0.013649 0.032794 0.075977 0.166549 0.340652 0.688571
2025-08-10 0.004315 0.012225 0.030647 0.073735 0.167036 0.351376 0.728922
2025-08-17 0.003712 0.011064 0.028899 0.072095 0.168521 0.364067 0.773993
2025-08-24 0.003314 0.010351 0.028073 0.072386 0.174078 0.385218 0.837202
2025-08-31 0.002852 0.009361 0.026416 0.070513 0.174673 0.396297 0.881119
2025-09-07 0.002713 0.009266 0.026983 0.074017 0.187657 0.434122 0.982463
2025-09-14 0.002426 0.008667 0.026152 0.073968 0.192467 0.455015 1.050213
2025-09-21 0.002097 0.007864 0.024640 0.071985 0.192493 0.465536 1.096786
2025-09-28 0.001851 0.007266 0.023592 0.071054 0.194923 0.481506 1.156261
2025-10-05 0.001791 0.007284 0.024310 0.074939 0.209625 0.526215 1.281995